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BasicsBeginner4 min

Rumours versus Confirmed News

Prices often move on rumours before anything is confirmed, then reverse when the news arrives.

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Why this matters for beginners

Understanding this helps you stay calm and read price moves correctly. This is general education, not personal advice.

Main explanation

A rumour of a takeover can lift a share before any offer exists.

If the rumour is false, the price often falls back.

If it is confirmed, the move may already be done, so the price barely reacts.

Social media spreads rumours fast, and some are deliberately false.

Example using a real company

Fictional Sunny Bikes rises 10 percent on a takeover rumour, then falls 8 percent when the buyer denies it.

  • →Rumour: up 10. Denial: down 8.
  • →Rumour: up 10. Confirmed: up 1 more.

Common beginner mistakes

  • ✕Trading on unverified posts.
  • ✕Buying after the news when the move is already done.

Key terms

Buy the rumour, sell the news
Prices rising on expectations and falling once news is confirmed.

Key takeaways

  • 01Check the source.
  • 02Confirmed news may already be priced in.

Check yourself

  1. 01
    What often happens if a rumour proves false?
  2. 02
    Why might confirmed news barely move the price?
  3. 03
    What should you check first?
Apply this in the Analyzer

Try the concept on a real company

Use the Analyzer to check facts about a company before reacting to a rumour.

Educational examples only. Not buy or sell recommendations.

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